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OPEC+’s cohesive restraint
The alliance is keeping output on track and the market in balance amid geopolitical tensions and a fragile supply-demand ledger
Venezuela upends global heavy crude market
The ripple effects of US refiners switching to Venezuela grades will be felt from Canada to China and everywhere in between
Venezuela mismanaged its oil, and US shale benefitted
Chavez’s socialist reforms boosted state control but pushed knowledge and capital out of the sector, opening the way for the US shale revolution
OPEC’s discipline sets tone for 2026
OPEC+ remains on track as output falls, with only Gabon failing to hit its output targets in December, although Kazakhstan’s compliance was involuntary
Venezuela’s true oil potential
The Latin American producer’s crude prospects rely on a multi-pronged approach where even the relatively easy wins will take considerable time, effort and cost
OPEC presses pause
The group’s oil production declined in November, our latest analysis finds, amid divided sentiment over market balances and geopolitical jitters
The looming risks of a US-Venezuela war
The Caribbean country’s role in the global oil market is significantly diminished, but disruptions caused by outright conflict would still have implications for US Gulf Coast refineries
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
The curious case of oil-on-water
The market is facing being drowned in excess crude, but one caveat is that a large chunk is due to buyers reluctant to snap up sanctioned barrels
OPEC+ nears output targets amid unsolved riddles
OPEC+ has proven to be astute at bringing back oil production, but mysteries around Chinese buying, missing barrels and oil-on-water have left the group in wait-and-see mode
Opec Venezuela
Derek Brower
8 December 2017
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Opec's Venezuelan supply problem

It's hard to see how the Opec-non-Opec agreement would survive a steep decline in Venezuelan oil output in 2018

The biggest point of contention during the Opec meeting on 30 November, say people who were in the room, was the plan to impose a cap on Libya's and Nigeria's oil output. The outcome wasn't clear. Opec's communiqué said nothing, leaving Saudi oil minister Khalid al-Falih to announce that they had agreed not to exceed their 2017 highs in 2018. It meant, he said, that there would be "no surprises" for the market. In terms of something for bulls to latch onto, that was about it from the Opec meeting. Otherwise, the key takeaway of the deal was that it would be subject to review during the year-at the next group-wide meeting in June, for sure, but also at compliance-monitoring meetings before th

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