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Letter from Iran: Nuclear miscalculation
The regime’s policy of using nuclear ambiguity as a deterrent may have failed but it has realised it has other cards to play, while its neighbours are reappraising their approach to security
India taking pole position on oil demand growth
The country’s rapidly expanding economy is boosting its consumption of oil as demand for the fuel slows elsewhere in the world
Letter from London: The oil market should panic tomorrow
Emergency oil stocks provide a last line of defence to oil market shocks, so the IEA’s unprecedented 400m bl release represents something of a double-edged sword
The diesel crisis
By shutting the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has cut exports of distillate-rich Middle Eastern crude, jet fuel and diesel, and is holding the energy market hostage
Middle East oil vulnerabilities have been exposed
The killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei in US–Israeli strikes marks the most serious escalation in the region in decades and a bigger potential threat to the oil market than the start of the Russia-Ukraine crisis
How Hormuz chokehold threatens LNG buyers
A potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following the escalating US-Iran conflict risks disrupting Qatari LNG exports that underpin global gas markets, exposing Asia and other markets to sharp price spikes, cargo shortages and renewed reliance on dirtier fuels
Letter from Asia: The nuanced India-Russia oil picture
The South Asian consumer’s next move could tighten the Middle East oil market overnight
Letter from Iran: Testing times for Tehran-Beijing crude dynamics
Growing pressure from the Trump administration continues to threaten a resilient China-Iran oil nexus
Indian refiners prove their adaptability
A strategic pivot away from Russian crude in recent weeks tees up the possibility of improved US-India trade relations
Explainer: Iran’s indispensable energy role
The country’s global energy importance and domestic political fate are interlocked, highlighting its outsized oil and gas powers, and the heightened fallout risk
India Iran
TC Malhotra
13 December 2018
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Sellers jockey to fill India’s Iran void

Iranian deliveries have dropped significantly despite exemption, but it is not as simple as Saudi Arabia stepping in

Iran's crude deliveries to India have dropped substantially in the last four months, according to data from oil market analytics consultancy OilX. But it is a more opaque picture than Saudi Arabia simply picking up all the slack. India was one of the eight countries that received an exemption from the US Trump administration in early November from having to reduce its imports of Iranian crude to zero. The waiver lasts for an initial six months. India's oil minister Dharmendra Pradhan said that the US decision to let India keep buying oil from Iran was a reassertion that interests of consuming nations cannot be ignored, while Trump said the US "will take care of" the eight countries granted e

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