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Drone power: Ukraine escalates its war on Russian oil
Sustained strikes on ports, terminals and refineries are testing the resilience of Russia’s oil export system, yet rapid repairs, rerouting and surging prices mean the campaign has yet to deliver a decisive blow
Letter from Iran: Nuclear miscalculation
The regime’s policy of using nuclear ambiguity as a deterrent may have failed but it has realised it has other cards to play, while its neighbours are reappraising their approach to security
Letter from the UAE: The GCC and Iran – No easy way out
For GCC producers, the ceasefire may prove more destabilising than the war itself: exports remain constrained, and control over Hormuz has shifted in ways that could endure
China’s secure energy transition
Alongside a rapid continued build-out of renewables, China’s latest five-year plan stresses the value of domestic hydrocarbon production for energy security and calls for increased Russian gas imports
Qatar’s Golden Pass dilemma
Golden Pass’s startup offers QatarEnergy a timely boost but may also force a difficult choice between honouring disrupted contracts and capitalising on soaring spot LNG prices
Lessons from the crisis
The US-Iran conflict demonstrates the need for diversification in several senses of the word. It also exposes the limits of Washington applying pressure on major oil and gas producers it considers geopolitical adversaries
Letter from the US: The oil market abyss
The overlooked oil supply issue is that even after the Strait of Hormuz opens, barrels won’t readily return
Do not politicise a geopolitical crisis – Ydreos
The Strait of Hormuz disruption has exposed weakness in the global energy system and reignited debate over security of supply, but it should not be used to justify an accelerated shift away from fossil fuels, says the secretary general of the IGU
A bigger and longer crisis
Attacks on key oil and LNG assets across the Gulf mean a prolonged supply disruption, with damage to Qatar’s export capacity undermining confidence in the global gas system
How Russia gains from the Hormuz supply shock
The US may be systemically stripping Russia of key geopolitical allies, but Moscow can reap rewards from the Hormuz crisis, both in the short and long term
Iranians take part in a celebration marking the 47th anniversary of the Islamic Revolution in Tehran
Opinion
Politics Iran US
Danial Rahmat
Tehran
12 February 2026
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Letter from Iran: Testing times for Tehran-Beijing crude dynamics

Growing pressure from the Trump administration continues to threaten a resilient China-Iran oil nexus

The tensions around Iran during Trump’s second term have severely challenged the country’s ability to continue with it oil exports, which serve as a vital source of funding for the Iranian economy. The increasing US sanctions and reimposition of UN sanctions, Israel’s June airstrikes, widespread domestic uprisings, and the expansion of Washington’s military presence near Iranian waters have all exerted additional pressure on the Iranian economy and its revenue stream from oil exports. Independent data indicate that the quantities of crude and condensates delivered to Chinese refiners do not correspond with Iran’s export figures—despite Iran having no oil customers other than China during thi

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22 April 2026
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Letter from Iran: Nuclear miscalculation
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21 April 2026
The regime’s policy of using nuclear ambiguity as a deterrent may have failed but it has realised it has other cards to play, while its neighbours are reappraising their approach to security

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