Letter from the US: Trump and $1 gasoline
The oil and gas industry will replace its capital discipline with Trump compliance and consumers will benefit from lower gasoline prices
The incoming Trump administration wants low gasoline prices. The data makes clear that the high fuel prices of 2023 and early 2024 contributed to the president-elect’s victory, and a return of high prices in 2025 and 2026 could lead to significant Democratic gains in the midterm elections. Trump will try to prevent this by granting the oil industry’s wishes for less regulation and more leasing and then demanding large output increases to hold down prices. The 3:3:3:1 Plan The incoming president’s nominee for secretary of the treasury, Scott Bessent, has announced his ‘3:3:3 plan’. This entails increasing growth to 3%, cutting the budget deficit to 3% of GDP and raising US energy production b
Also in this section
5 December 2025
Mistaken assumptions around an oil bull run that never happened are a warning over the talk of a supply glut
4 December 2025
Time is running out for Lukoil and Rosneft to divest international assets that will be mostly rendered useless to them when the US sanctions deadline arrives in mid-December
3 December 2025
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
2 December 2025
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026






