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Letter from Iran: Nuclear miscalculation
The regime’s policy of using nuclear ambiguity as a deterrent may have failed but it has realised it has other cards to play, while its neighbours are reappraising their approach to security
Mideast plans big spending on gas to meet demand
The region’s gas producers are investing heavily in the fuel in order to satisfy burgeoning demand resulting from economic growth and a shift to cleaner fuels
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The diesel crisis
By shutting the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has cut exports of distillate-rich Middle Eastern crude, jet fuel and diesel, and is holding the energy market hostage
Middle East oil vulnerabilities have been exposed
The killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei in US–Israeli strikes marks the most serious escalation in the region in decades and a bigger potential threat to the oil market than the start of the Russia-Ukraine crisis
How Hormuz chokehold threatens LNG buyers
A potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following the escalating US-Iran conflict risks disrupting Qatari LNG exports that underpin global gas markets, exposing Asia and other markets to sharp price spikes, cargo shortages and renewed reliance on dirtier fuels
Letter from the Middle East: Aramco provides big global gas reveal
The Saudi energy leader’s announcement of first production at Jafurah and the launch of operations at the Tanajib Gas Plant marks a turning point not just for the company, but for the world’s energy landscape
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OPEC+’s cohesive restraint
The alliance is keeping output on track and the market in balance amid geopolitical tensions and a fragile supply-demand ledger
Letter from Saudi Arabia: Big oil meets big shovel
As Saudi Arabia pushes mining as a new pillar of its economy, Saudi Aramco is positioning itself at the intersection of hydrocarbons, minerals and industrial policy
Opec Saudi Arabia Donald Trump Iran
Craig Guthrie
13 July 2018
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Opec and IEA diverge on world’s capacity cushion

As trade tensions and disruptions ripple through the market, Opec and the IEA disagree on the risks to supply

Global energy bodies parted ways this week on the expected impact of oil capacity risks caused by sanctions and production outages in Venezuela, Libya and elsewhere. While the International Energy Agency's monthly report projected that capacity could be "stretched to the limit ", Opec said rising supply, particularly from its rivals, will easily meet slowing global demand growth. The prospect of tightened markets saw WTI prices spike as high as $74.77 a barrel in recent weeks, frustrating Opec's efforts to moderate prices, announced following the group's Vienna meeting at the end of June. But this week global trade tensions, a revival of Libyan production and US assurances over Iran sancti

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