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Letter from Iran: Nuclear miscalculation
The regime’s policy of using nuclear ambiguity as a deterrent may have failed but it has realised it has other cards to play, while its neighbours are reappraising their approach to security
Letter from the UAE: The GCC and Iran – No easy way out
For GCC producers, the ceasefire may prove more destabilising than the war itself: exports remain constrained, and control over Hormuz has shifted in ways that could endure
China’s secure energy transition
Alongside a rapid continued build-out of renewables, China’s latest five-year plan stresses the value of domestic hydrocarbon production for energy security and calls for increased Russian gas imports
Venezuela already making oil comeback
The government is taking important steps to revive domestic production, lift investment and benefit from the geopolitical crisis even if more needs to be done in the longer term
Do not politicise a geopolitical crisis – Ydreos
The Strait of Hormuz disruption has exposed weakness in the global energy system and reignited debate over security of supply, but it should not be used to justify an accelerated shift away from fossil fuels, says the secretary general of the IGU
A bigger and longer crisis
Attacks on key oil and LNG assets across the Gulf mean a prolonged supply disruption, with damage to Qatar’s export capacity undermining confidence in the global gas system
How Russia gains from the Hormuz supply shock
The US may be systemically stripping Russia of key geopolitical allies, but Moscow can reap rewards from the Hormuz crisis, both in the short and long term
Letter from Dubai: A safe haven under fire
Missiles over Dubai and disruption in Hormuz are testing the emirate’s reputation—and shaking the energy hub at the centre of the Gulf economy
Trump’s bid to reshape the global energy order
From Venezuela to Hormuz, the US—backed by the most powerful military force ever assembled—is redrawing not only oil and gas flows but also the global balance of energy power
Energy dominance as diplomatic leverage
Energy sanctions are becoming an increasingly prominent tool of US foreign policy, with the country’s growth in oil and gas production allowing it to impose pressure on rivals without jeopardising its own energy security or that of its allies, argues Matthew McManus, a visiting fellow at the National Center for Energy Analytics
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro addresses supporters during the referendum campaign
Venezuela Guyana Politics
Vincent Lauerman
12 January 2024
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Venezuela casts shadow over Guyana’s bright oil future

But 1m b/d production could be just a few years away if geopolitical risks subside

The future appears bright for Guyana’s rapidly expanding offshore oil industry. Since the first announced commercial oil strike in the Liza field in May 2015, the ExxonMobil-led consortium targeting the massive 6.6m-acre Stabroek block has made more than 34 additional discoveries, amounting to 11b bl of recoverable oil and counting. In addition, Guyana closed its first competitive auction for 14 offshore blocks in September, with bids on eight of them. Oslo-based consultancy Rystad Energy is predicting Guyana will become the world’s fourth-largest offshore oil producer by 2035, while Edinburgh-based consultancy Wood Mackenzie is predicting the country to break the 1m b/d milestone in 2027 an

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