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Drone power: Ukraine escalates its war on Russian oil
Sustained strikes on ports, terminals and refineries are testing the resilience of Russia’s oil export system, yet rapid repairs, rerouting and surging prices mean the campaign has yet to deliver a decisive blow
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The regime’s policy of using nuclear ambiguity as a deterrent may have failed but it has realised it has other cards to play, while its neighbours are reappraising their approach to security
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For GCC producers, the ceasefire may prove more destabilising than the war itself: exports remain constrained, and control over Hormuz has shifted in ways that could endure
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Alongside a rapid continued build-out of renewables, China’s latest five-year plan stresses the value of domestic hydrocarbon production for energy security and calls for increased Russian gas imports
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Attacks on key oil and LNG assets across the Gulf mean a prolonged supply disruption, with damage to Qatar’s export capacity undermining confidence in the global gas system
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The US may be systemically stripping Russia of key geopolitical allies, but Moscow can reap rewards from the Hormuz crisis, both in the short and long term
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Energy dominance as diplomatic leverage
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Work on the first Power of Siberia pipeline in 2020
China Politics
Joseph Murphy
2 April 2026
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China’s secure energy transition

Alongside a rapid continued build-out of renewables, China’s latest five-year plan stresses the value of domestic hydrocarbon production for energy security and calls for increased Russian gas imports

China’s draft five-year plan, released in March, balances advancing its energy transition with ensuring energy security and prioritising the buildout of domestic supply of both renewables and fossil fuels. It also calls for increased Russian gas pipeline imports to help shield China from LNG market volatility, adding momentum to Moscow’s long-delayed Power of Siberia 2 project. While the plan places heavy emphasis on renewables, it stops short of signalling any near-term retreat from hydrocarbons, with domestically produced coal, oil and gas remaining key to providing stable and secure energy. “Renewables will keep expanding, but not at the expense of fossil fuel stability. Geopolitical inst

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