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Letter from Iran: Nuclear miscalculation
The regime’s policy of using nuclear ambiguity as a deterrent may have failed but it has realised it has other cards to play, while its neighbours are reappraising their approach to security
Letter from the UAE: The GCC and Iran – No easy way out
For GCC producers, the ceasefire may prove more destabilising than the war itself: exports remain constrained, and control over Hormuz has shifted in ways that could endure
China’s secure energy transition
Alongside a rapid continued build-out of renewables, China’s latest five-year plan stresses the value of domestic hydrocarbon production for energy security and calls for increased Russian gas imports
Venezuela already making oil comeback
The government is taking important steps to revive domestic production, lift investment and benefit from the geopolitical crisis even if more needs to be done in the longer term
Qatar’s Golden Pass dilemma
Golden Pass’s startup offers QatarEnergy a timely boost but may also force a difficult choice between honouring disrupted contracts and capitalising on soaring spot LNG prices
Lessons from the crisis
The US-Iran conflict demonstrates the need for diversification in several senses of the word. It also exposes the limits of Washington applying pressure on major oil and gas producers it considers geopolitical adversaries
Letter from the US: The oil market abyss
The overlooked oil supply issue is that even after the Strait of Hormuz opens, barrels won’t readily return
Do not politicise a geopolitical crisis – Ydreos
The Strait of Hormuz disruption has exposed weakness in the global energy system and reignited debate over security of supply, but it should not be used to justify an accelerated shift away from fossil fuels, says the secretary general of the IGU
A bigger and longer crisis
Attacks on key oil and LNG assets across the Gulf mean a prolonged supply disruption, with damage to Qatar’s export capacity undermining confidence in the global gas system
How Russia gains from the Hormuz supply shock
The US may be systemically stripping Russia of key geopolitical allies, but Moscow can reap rewards from the Hormuz crisis, both in the short and long term
PDVSA’s El Palito refinery in Puerto Cabell
Venezuela US Politics
Simon Ferrie
Paul Hickin,
Editor-in-chief
1 November 2023
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Venezuela’s limited oil sanctions relief

Washington’s move to ease restrictions on Caracas will likely have a more meaningful impact on US refiners than global crude markets

The US suspended selected sanctions on Venezuela on 18 October in response to the signing of an “electoral roadmap” between the Maduro government and the political opposition. Most observers are sceptical over how much of an impact the apparent rapprochement might have on the global oil markets, given the temporary nature of the sanctions relief and Venezuela’s degraded production capabilities. That is not to say the step will not move the dial for the US oil industry itself, which relies on heavier, sourer grades—typically from Canada—to blend with lighter, sweeter home-grown grades. So any extra flows from Venezuela—a traditional supplier of crude to its North American neighbour—will certa

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