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US election means little to Tehran and Caracas
Geopolitical strife embroiling Iran and political corruption in Venezuela suggest little near-term change to oil production from either of the sanctioned states
Letter from South America: Sanction threat fails to curb Caracas
Washington has put oil and gas sanctions back in place while Venezuela prepares for elections. But exemptions remain as the Biden administration looks to domestic gasoline prices ahead of the US’ own elections later this year
Venezuela casts shadow over Guyana’s bright oil future
But 1m b/d production could be just a few years away if geopolitical risks subside
Venezuela’s limited oil sanctions relief
Washington’s move to ease restrictions on Caracas will likely have a more meaningful impact on US refiners than global crude markets
Letter from Caracas: Venezuela and Russia’s fragile oil ties at risk
Moscow’s influence over Caracas uncertain amid upcoming elections and a shift in approach from Washington
Letter from Venezuela: A long journey back from the oil wilderness
Lifting sanctions may still be a bridge too far in becoming a sustainable supplier of crude to the US
Letter from South America: Washington softens Caracas stance
Trinidad & Tobago’s position as a Caribbean gas hub seems more secure following US permission for it to access Venezuela’s Dragon field
Russia sanctions to create oil market slowburn
Venezuela and Iran offer clues to potential effectiveness of the measures
US approves Trinidad-Venezuela Dragon talks
The gas field could help Trinidad and Tobago sustain its LNG industry
Chevron gets back to work in Venezuela
But Washington’s apparent detente with Caracas is unlikely to bolster global crude supplies significantly any time soon
Venezuela PDV
Eileen Gavin
14 December 2020
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Venezuela stuck on repeat

The socialist regime may have strengthened its political control, but until US sanctions are unwound economic disaster will persist

It has been a strong year politically for Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro. Notwith­standing the near collapse of the oil sector and the wider economy, he has routed the hardline opposition and reinforced the power of his radical left-wing regime. But his latest domestic success, in the National Assembly election on 6 December, is a rather hollow victory that leaves him with a weakened hand on the international stage. The West will certainly not recognise the ballot. And Maduro’s hope of getting to 2021 in a stronger negotiating position with external stakeholders—including the US under a new Biden administration—is not likely to come to fruition. Without external recognition of the new N

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