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Letter from Iran: Nuclear miscalculation
The regime’s policy of using nuclear ambiguity as a deterrent may have failed but it has realised it has other cards to play, while its neighbours are reappraising their approach to security
Letter from London: The oil market should panic tomorrow
Emergency oil stocks provide a last line of defence to oil market shocks, so the IEA’s unprecedented 400m bl release represents something of a double-edged sword
The diesel crisis
By shutting the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has cut exports of distillate-rich Middle Eastern crude, jet fuel and diesel, and is holding the energy market hostage
Middle East oil vulnerabilities have been exposed
The killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei in US–Israeli strikes marks the most serious escalation in the region in decades and a bigger potential threat to the oil market than the start of the Russia-Ukraine crisis
How Hormuz chokehold threatens LNG buyers
A potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following the escalating US-Iran conflict risks disrupting Qatari LNG exports that underpin global gas markets, exposing Asia and other markets to sharp price spikes, cargo shortages and renewed reliance on dirtier fuels
Letter from Iran: Testing times for Tehran-Beijing crude dynamics
Growing pressure from the Trump administration continues to threaten a resilient China-Iran oil nexus
Explainer: Iran’s indispensable energy role
The country’s global energy importance and domestic political fate are interlocked, highlighting its outsized oil and gas powers, and the heightened fallout risk
The curious case of oil-on-water
The market is facing being drowned in excess crude, but one caveat is that a large chunk is due to buyers reluctant to snap up sanctioned barrels
MENA states sharpen their gas focus
The GCC countries and other states in the region are looking to make greater domestic use of gas, both that produced at home and imported volumes
Letter from the Middle East: Iran-Israel war risks dire straits
A blockade of the Strait of Hormuz would have reverberations that would sound around the world
Iran Serica
Ian Lewis
13 July 2018
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Serica sanguine on sanctions

The firm's historic links to Iran are in the spotlight as US sanctions resume

Serica Energy is one of the firms seemingly punching above its weight in the North Sea as it seeks to acquire BP's stakes in the mature Bruce, Keith and Rhum (BKR) fields development. The acquisition would give it operatorship of a 5% share of UK gas production. Serica's chief executive, Mitch Flegg, told Petroleum Economist the company's agility as a smaller player with a tight focus on just a handful of assets gives it an advantage. It can delay cessation of production longer than would have been possible under the operatorship of BP, which has bigger fish to fry elsewhere. The snag is that a subsidiary of the National Iranian Oil Company owns a 50% stake in the Rhum field, which means tha

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