Drilling rigs in the Permian
Sustained low oil prices could kill production for years
Modest downward revisions to 2025 supply belie the longer-term damage to E&P from a weaker oil market
For some time now, $70–80/bl oil has been considered the oil market sweet spot—a price high enough for companies to continue pumping and thriving while being low enough not to damage consumers. The current trade war has prompted the North Sea benchmark Brent to fall to the low $60/bl region and the US marker WTI to around $60/bl, which is leading to a worrying reveal: that the so-called ‘goldilocks’ price was in actual fact more a minimum viable product. It has been OPEC’s mantra for years: oil price stability is needed to encourage continued investment in E&P and maintain a healthy industry. But with the group having lost patience, and Trump’s approach to trade creating fresh volatility
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15 May 2025
Financial problems, lack of exploration success and political dogma cause uncertainty across much of the region
14 May 2025
The invisible hand of the market has seen increasing transparency but much more needs to be done to build a better understanding
13 May 2025
A fall in Venezuelan output drives overall production lower, as Saudi Arabia starts to slowly bring more crude to the market
12 May 2025
With the gas industry’s staunchest advocates and opponents taking brutal blows, the sector looks like treading a path of insipid indifference
