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OPEC+ caught between a crisis and a surplus
After overcoming a COVID-induced demand collapse with several years of successful market management, geopolitical events have conspired to provide the pact’s biggest test to date
The illusion of supply: Rethinking energy security when oil cannot move
Demand for oil is falling because supply cannot meet it, not because it is no longer required
OPEC+’s 11m b/d March production collapse
Petroleum Economist analysis highlights sharp shift from crude oversupply to market deficit, with Iraq and Kuwait badly affected and key producers Saudi Arabia and the UAE also seeing output sharply lower
The demand destruction timebomb
It is not a case of if or when, but the length and magnitude of economic damage from elevated oil prices
Lessons from the crisis
The US-Iran conflict demonstrates the need for diversification in several senses of the word. It also exposes the limits of Washington applying pressure on major oil and gas producers it considers geopolitical adversaries
Letter from the US: The oil market abyss
The overlooked oil supply issue is that even after the Strait of Hormuz opens, barrels won’t readily return
Middle East chaos creates new oil and gas trends
A complex and sometimes contradictory web of factors that include unpredictable oil prices, the globalisation of LNG markets, the expansion of Middle Eastern sovereign capital and the growth of datacentre demand will shape the energy landscape beyond 2026
The key arteries of the energy world
The Strait of Hormuz crisis highlights how key waterways can become global chokepoints
Through the oil looking glass
The extent of the US-Israel war with Iran means there will be no going back to the previous market equilibrium no matter how the conflict ends
Do not fear runaway Henry Hub prices
Rising LNG exports and AI-driven power demand have raised concerns that US gas prices could climb sharply, but analysts say abundant shale supply and continued productivity gains should keep Henry Hub within a range that preserves the competitiveness of US LNG
The Strategic Petroleum Reserve in Freeport, US
Markets Supply and demand
Philip K. Verleger
30 July 2024
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Oil stocks have become truly strategic

Strategic stock releases designed to alleviate price shocks emanating from disruptions came into their own after the Russia crisis

The world has experienced 20 oil market disruptions over the last 50 years. Up until this decade, the maximum price increase was predictable. Supply losses—or fears of losses—caused those holding stocks to hoard and those who needed stocks to bid aggressively, pushing prices up. Over that span, consuming nations had the option to moderate the price impact of disruptions by drawing down strategic stocks. Their leaders ignored such calls until 2022, when a significant release broke the price rise prompted by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. In each of the disruptions before 2022, government officials would say the same thing. For example, in 2019, Brian Hook, US special representative for Iran an

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21 April 2026
After overcoming a COVID-induced demand collapse with several years of successful market management, geopolitical events have conspired to provide the pact’s biggest test to date
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