Iraq looks beyond headwinds for the upside in 2024

Optimism about Kurdish production increases contrasts with a messy security situation that could obstruct oil and gas progress

Iraq’s one-step-forwards, two-steps-back progress is continuing in 2024, with recent improvements in northern crude output clouded by a deterioration in the country’s wider security situation. An Iranian missile strike on the Kurdish capital of Erbil on 15 January coincided with a general uptick in militia violence in the country—regional fallout from the Israel-Hamas conflict. A drone attack on the Khor Mor gas field in the Kurdistan region on 25 January, damaging Emirati company Dana Gas’ liquid storage tank, has reinforced oil and gas companies’ vulnerability to militia violence in Iraq’s north. The incidents obscured some recent good news for Iraq: crude production is trending upwards ag