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OPEC+ caught between a crisis and a surplus
After overcoming a COVID-induced demand collapse with several years of successful market management, geopolitical events have conspired to provide the pact’s biggest test to date
Mideast plans big spending on gas to meet demand
The region’s gas producers are investing heavily in the fuel in order to satisfy burgeoning demand resulting from economic growth and a shift to cleaner fuels
The illusion of supply: Rethinking energy security when oil cannot move
Demand for oil is falling because supply cannot meet it, not because it is no longer required
OPEC+’s 11m b/d March production collapse
Petroleum Economist analysis highlights sharp shift from crude oversupply to market deficit, with Iraq and Kuwait badly affected and key producers Saudi Arabia and the UAE also seeing output sharply lower
Qatar’s Golden Pass dilemma
Golden Pass’s startup offers QatarEnergy a timely boost but may also force a difficult choice between honouring disrupted contracts and capitalising on soaring spot LNG prices
The demand destruction timebomb
It is not a case of if or when, but the length and magnitude of economic damage from elevated oil prices
Lessons from the crisis
The US-Iran conflict demonstrates the need for diversification in several senses of the word. It also exposes the limits of Washington applying pressure on major oil and gas producers it considers geopolitical adversaries
Letter from the US: The oil market abyss
The overlooked oil supply issue is that even after the Strait of Hormuz opens, barrels won’t readily return
Middle East chaos creates new oil and gas trends
A complex and sometimes contradictory web of factors that include unpredictable oil prices, the globalisation of LNG markets, the expansion of Middle Eastern sovereign capital and the growth of datacentre demand will shape the energy landscape beyond 2026
The key arteries of the energy world
The Strait of Hormuz crisis highlights how key waterways can become global chokepoints
Markets US Saudi Arabia
Philip K. Verleger
21 August 2023
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US SPR squeezes Saudi economy

Action by consuming governments has shown they can significantly affect oil prices and put a spoke in OPEC’s wheels

Middle Eastern and Central Asian economic growth is projected to decline to 2.5% in 2023 from 5.4% in 2022, according to the IMF, with a downward revision of 0.4 percentage points compared with the previous forecast being attributable mainly to a steeper-than-expected slowdown in Saudi Arabia. Growth in the Kingdom is expected to fall from 8.7% in 2022 to 1.9% in 2023, a downward revision of 1.2 percentage points. The IMF attributed the slow Saudi growth to an agreement among OPEC+ members to cut output in April this year. Data published about the same time showed Saudi Arabia’s income from oil sales dropped in May 2023 to the lowest level since 2022 (see Fig.1). The IMF economists failed to

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OPEC+ caught between a crisis and a surplus
21 April 2026
After overcoming a COVID-induced demand collapse with several years of successful market management, geopolitical events have conspired to provide the pact’s biggest test to date
Letter from Iran: Nuclear miscalculation
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21 April 2026
The regime’s policy of using nuclear ambiguity as a deterrent may have failed but it has realised it has other cards to play, while its neighbours are reappraising their approach to security
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21 April 2026
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