Oil stability has become the codeword for an implied price floor
Opec+ mastering art of targeting prices without targeting prices
Two-speed producer group is now nimble enough to make price floor work
Opec messaging could not be any clearer: oil stability has become the codeword for an implied price floor, with Saudi Arabia’s ire constantly aimed at speculators. While some commentators were caught up in the complexities of geopolitical doublespeak to explain Opec+’s surprise voluntary production cut in early April, the reasoning for the 1.66mn bl/d reduction from May through December—which includes a 500,000bl/d cut from Russia—is much simpler: uncertainty over the demand outlook. What is more nuanced is Opec+’s newfound approach. Unshackled by those cartel producers themselves shackled by production constraints, Saudi Arabia and its predominantly Middle Eastern cohorts were able to move
Also in this section
21 February 2025
While large-scale planned LNG schemes in sub-Saharan Africa have faced fresh problems, FLNG projects are stepping into that space
20 February 2025
Greater social mobility means increased global demand for refined fuels and petrochemical products, with Asia leading the way in the expansion of refining capacity
19 February 2025
The EU would do well to ease its gas storage requirements to avoid heavy purchase costs this summer, with the targets having created market distortion while giving sellers a significant advantage over buyers
18 February 2025
Deliveries to China decline by around 1m b/d from move to curb crude exports to Shandong port, putting Iran under further economic pressure
