Opec's 2019 dilemma
The cartel faces unprecedented challenges, amid sceptism that output cuts will avert a global supply glut
Bearish voices are loudest these days. Several big houses have downgraded their 2019 price forecasts: Goldman Sachs has gone from $70/bl to $62.50/bl, citing a surge in production, particularly from US shale. Opec may be less influential than it used to be, but still accounts for more than 40pc of global oil supplies against 53pc in the 1970s. Clearly, it has more clout when acting as Opec+, the wider cartel that includes Russia and Kazakhstan—which struck a supply cuts accord in Vienna in December. Despite Opec's heft, with mega-producer Saudi Arabia at the helm, undercurrents in the global energy marketplace are viewed as unsettling. Garbis Iradian, chief economist for the Mena region at W
Also in this section
9 January 2026
OPEC+ remains on track as output falls, with only Gabon failing to hit its output targets in December, although Kazakhstan’s compliance was involuntary
9 January 2026
The Latin American producer’s crude prospects rely on a multi-pronged approach where even the relatively easy wins will take considerable time, effort and cost
9 January 2026
While many forecasters are reasserting the importance of oil and gas, petrostates should be under no illusion things are changing, and faster than they might think
8 January 2026
Indonesia and Malaysia are at the dawn of breathtaking digital capabilities. Their energy infrastructure must keep up with their ambitions
