Trump’s oil market trade-off
Following through on threats to key oil producers while simultaneously bringing down prices will prove a tricky balancing act
US President Donald Trump has signalled his intention to maintain or tighten economic pressure on Russia, Iran and Venezuela, at least tactically, while also trying to rewrite the rules of the trade game. The dynamics of the oil market make this difficult. A similar dilemma overshadowed the Biden administration’s foreign policy and interaction with OPEC and the energy sector. It is a simple question with no clear answer: how do you tighten sanctions on many large oil producers and also lower domestic/local prices for energy? Add to the mix threatened tariffs on Canada and Mexico—which could raise the cost of domestic refined fuel as refineries either struggle to source other supplies of hea
Also in this section
13 March 2026
Brussels is again weighing a cap on gas prices amid the Hormuz crisis, but the measure could backfire by deterring the LNG cargoes Europe urgently needs
12 March 2026
Emergency oil stocks provide a last line of defence to oil market shocks, so the IEA’s unprecedented 400m bl release represents something of a double-edged sword
12 March 2026
LPG could rapidly expand access to clean cooking across Africa and prevent hundreds of thousands of deaths from indoor air pollution each year, but infrastructure shortages and regulatory barriers are slowing investment and market growth
11 March 2026
Missiles over Dubai and disruption in Hormuz are testing the emirate’s reputation—and shaking the energy hub at the centre of the Gulf economy






