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Energy dominance as diplomatic leverage
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Ecuadorean presidential candidate Luisa Gonzalez
Ecuador Politics
Marat Aslan
26 February 2025
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Ecuadorean election prompts oil and gas push

Both candidates head into the run-off with a near identical voting share and big plans to raise investment in the country’s hydrocarbon sector

Ecuador’s incumbent government is going into the presidential run-off poll in April with a slender lead, having announced in January a big boost to hydrocarbon spending. The administration pledged to invest $44b through to 2029, partly to revive flagging crude production as well as to build a brand-new oil refinery. Many pollsters had predicted a wider margin for President Daniel Noboa in the first round, but the result showcased split public opinion. Less than 1% of the ballot separated the president from opposition candidate Luisa Gonzalez, while indigenous left-wing candidate Leonidas Iza also picked up just over 5% of the vote. “We would anticipate no immediate change in the curren

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Energy dominance as diplomatic leverage
9 March 2026
Energy sanctions are becoming an increasingly prominent tool of US foreign policy, with the country’s growth in oil and gas production allowing it to impose pressure on rivals without jeopardising its own energy security or that of its allies, argues Matthew McManus, a visiting fellow at the National Center for Energy Analytics

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