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Letter from Iran: Nuclear miscalculation
The regime’s policy of using nuclear ambiguity as a deterrent may have failed but it has realised it has other cards to play, while its neighbours are reappraising their approach to security
Letter from the UAE: The GCC and Iran – No easy way out
For GCC producers, the ceasefire may prove more destabilising than the war itself: exports remain constrained, and control over Hormuz has shifted in ways that could endure
China’s secure energy transition
Alongside a rapid continued build-out of renewables, China’s latest five-year plan stresses the value of domestic hydrocarbon production for energy security and calls for increased Russian gas imports
Do not politicise a geopolitical crisis – Ydreos
The Strait of Hormuz disruption has exposed weakness in the global energy system and reignited debate over security of supply, but it should not be used to justify an accelerated shift away from fossil fuels, says the secretary general of the IGU
A bigger and longer crisis
Attacks on key oil and LNG assets across the Gulf mean a prolonged supply disruption, with damage to Qatar’s export capacity undermining confidence in the global gas system
How Russia gains from the Hormuz supply shock
The US may be systemically stripping Russia of key geopolitical allies, but Moscow can reap rewards from the Hormuz crisis, both in the short and long term
Letter from Dubai: A safe haven under fire
Missiles over Dubai and disruption in Hormuz are testing the emirate’s reputation—and shaking the energy hub at the centre of the Gulf economy
Trump’s bid to reshape the global energy order
From Venezuela to Hormuz, the US—backed by the most powerful military force ever assembled—is redrawing not only oil and gas flows but also the global balance of energy power
Energy dominance as diplomatic leverage
Energy sanctions are becoming an increasingly prominent tool of US foreign policy, with the country’s growth in oil and gas production allowing it to impose pressure on rivals without jeopardising its own energy security or that of its allies, argues Matthew McManus, a visiting fellow at the National Center for Energy Analytics
Explainer: Fujairah on high alert
With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed following US-Israel strikes and Iran’s retaliatory escalation, Fujairah has become the region’s critical pressure release valve—and is now under serious threat
Incoming Mexican president Claudia Sheinbaum and Pemex CEO Victor Rodriguez
Mexico Politics
Marat Aslan
9 September 2024
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Mexico’s new president faces fiscal crunch

While greater focus on decarbonisation is likely, economic pressures and huge debt burden could squeeze energy policy ambitions

Newly elected Mexican president Claudia Sheinbaum will take the reins of power at the start of October, and she already faces several fiscal challenges to her energy policy—including the highest public deficit since 1990 and sharply falling labour productivity. Last year, Mexico’s Secretariat of Energy (SENER) reported an overspend of 263% as the government prioritised domestic energy expenditure. Over the next five years, the Sheinbaum regime faces having to pay off almost $36b in debt maturities owed by state oil and gas firm Pemex. Containing the NOC’s huge debt pile has been a government priority since former president Enrique Pena Nieto exited the scene in 2018. Six years on, and while

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