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Outlook 2026: South America’s oil growth story masks hidden risks
Brazil, Guyana and Argentina to lead additional crude supply increases, but the rest of the region remains patchy
Brazil could be an energy trailblazer
The oil powerhouse will not just join the top five crude exporters in the coming years, it may be a model for how petrostates balance growth, policy and sustainability
Brazil looks to solve its energy security travails
Despite significant crude projections over the next five years, Latin America’s largest economy could be forced to start importing unless action is taken
Brazil rides a production wave
Latin America’s largest economy expects big uptick in crude this year with the imminent arrival of several FPSOs
Hydrocarbon Processing Refining Databook 2025: Americas
The US and Canada are boosting capacity builds for renewable diesel and biofuels, while Central and South American countries are investing heavily to upgrade and expand their domestic refining sectors
Latin America’s evolving crude outlook
New supply from Argentina, Brazil and Guyana is rich in middle distillates, but optimism in terms of volume growth remains tempered by regulatory and technical risks as well as price volatility
Brazil awaits contentious Equatorial Margin call
Political rancour is rising as politicians appeal for environmental licence to explore the mouth of the Amazon
Brazil seeks greater oil market influence
Despite environmental criticism, President Lula sees opportunity to build bridges with OPEC+ allies
Brazilian upstream enjoys bumper year
Soaring pre-salt production sees Latin America’s largest country pull away from the local competition
Rise of Brics challenges oil world order
The five economies are shaking up global markets, and they could be on the cusp of a major break from the existing order
Former President Lula is ahead in the polls
Opinion
Brazil Petrobras
Schreiner Parker
9 September 2022
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Letter from South America: Elections could impact Petrobras policy

The upcoming election pits the right-wing incumbent against a left-wing former president

Brazil will hold presidential elections in October and the left-leaning “pink tide” that has re-emerged on the continent in the last several years seems poised to wash up on Brazilian shores once again. Almost all polls show former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva with a commanding lead, in front of the incumbent president Jair Bolsonaro. Although pollsters have been wrong in the past—perhaps most notably with Trump vs Clinton in the US elections in 2016—this time it seems clear that the Brazil voters are willing to give Lula and his PT party another shot at the Planalto Palace. What this will mean for the energy sector in Brazil is still somewhat unclear. Petrobras under Bolsonaro has be

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