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Qatar’s Golden Pass dilemma
Golden Pass’s startup offers QatarEnergy a timely boost but may also force a difficult choice between honouring disrupted contracts and capitalising on soaring spot LNG prices
Lessons from the crisis
The US-Iran conflict demonstrates the need for diversification in several senses of the word. It also exposes the limits of Washington applying pressure on major oil and gas producers it considers geopolitical adversaries
Letter from the US: The oil market abyss
The overlooked oil supply issue is that even after the Strait of Hormuz opens, barrels won’t readily return
How Russia gains from the Hormuz supply shock
The US may be systemically stripping Russia of key geopolitical allies, but Moscow can reap rewards from the Hormuz crisis, both in the short and long term
Hormuz crisis delivers tailwinds for US LNG
Disruptions to Qatari LNG exports have highlighted the risks of concentrated supply, potentially strengthening the long-term position of US exporters despite limited near-term flexibility
Letter from Dubai: A safe haven under fire
Missiles over Dubai and disruption in Hormuz are testing the emirate’s reputation—and shaking the energy hub at the centre of the Gulf economy
Trump’s bid to reshape the global energy order
From Venezuela to Hormuz, the US—backed by the most powerful military force ever assembled—is redrawing not only oil and gas flows but also the global balance of energy power
Energy dominance as diplomatic leverage
Energy sanctions are becoming an increasingly prominent tool of US foreign policy, with the country’s growth in oil and gas production allowing it to impose pressure on rivals without jeopardising its own energy security or that of its allies, argues Matthew McManus, a visiting fellow at the National Center for Energy Analytics
Trump’s gasoline price pledge paradox
The US president has repeatedly promised to lower gasoline prices, but this ambition conflicts with his parallel aim to increase drilling and could be upended by his war against Iran
Explainer: Fujairah on high alert
With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed following US-Israel strikes and Iran’s retaliatory escalation, Fujairah has become the region’s critical pressure release valve—and is now under serious threat
Argentina Brazil China Guyana Kuwait Mozambique Russia Saudi Arabia Suriname UAE US Venezuela
Cleveland Jones
20 December 2021
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Meeting the oil and gas supply gap

The world has no lack of recoverable oil and gas resources. But where they will come from in the future will change

One of the major drivers of current short-term strength in the oil market is a lack of investment in new production to offset natural decline from existing fields. There are many valid reasons for this lack of capital, including price collapses over the past decade, continuing uncertainty over future demand and a constraint on investment dollars, either due to ESG concerns or disappointing past financial performance from oil producers. But, while the world is moving to a low-carbon future, it is still almost certain—barring a dramatic pivot towards accelerated progress to net zero that is nowhere being seriously politically contemplated—to need more new oil production. Even falling demand wi

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Lessons from the crisis
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The US-Iran conflict demonstrates the need for diversification in several senses of the word. It also exposes the limits of Washington applying pressure on major oil and gas producers it considers geopolitical adversaries
Libya's potential goes unrealised
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Disappointing results in its bidding round are a reality check for Libya, and global exploration generally

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