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Outlook 2026: US onshore holds steady at sluggish rate as shale stagnates
As contradictory as it might seem, US oil output has continued to grow over the last several years, even as drilling in the shale plays has maintained a slow decline. This improbable dichotomy is a testimony to the industry’s technological prowess
The looming risks of a US-Venezuela war
The Caribbean country’s role in the global oil market is significantly diminished, but disruptions caused by outright conflict would still have implications for US Gulf Coast refineries
Letter from Saudi Arabia: US-Saudi energy ties enter a new phase
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
The curious case of oil-on-water
The market is facing being drowned in excess crude, but one caveat is that a large chunk is due to buyers reluctant to snap up sanctioned barrels
The duality of US shale
A sector beset by pessimism and pain amid price weakness contrasts with data signalling production strength and resilience
Explainer: How the EU will wean itself off Russian gas
Questions remain about how the phase-out will be implemented and enforced in practice
China’s oil plan comes together
The country’s rapid output growth is an example that other producers could learn from
China seizes oil security opportunity
A combination of geopolitical uncertainty and OPEC+ barrels has driven a renewed focus on building strategic oil stocks despite flagging demand
Mideast states power up their gas priorities
Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar are ploughing resources into gas—with a growing eye on facilitating domestic use in power and value-added sectors
US China LNG
Shi Weijun
Beijing
14 August 2020
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Letter from China: US-China trade deal in the last chance saloon

Presidents Trump and Xi’s compact on rebalancing may be the next domino to fall

Relations between the US and China have sunk to new lows with unprecedented speed on virtually every bone of contention between the two economic superpowers recently—Huawei, Hong Kong, TikTok and Taiwan to name but a few. Next to unravel could be the sole glimmer of hope in Sino-US relations: the phase one economic and trade agreement signed in mid-January. Seven months on, it looks increasingly unlikely that China will live up to the ambitious targets for purchases in the trade deal that include procuring US energy products. China is significantly behind on imports of American LNG, crude oil, refined products and coal and, unless something extraordinary occurs, Beijing will not meet its tar

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Why the Gulf will be the stabilising force in an uncertain energy transition
16 December 2025
Abdullah Aljarboua serves as a senior fellow in the energy macro & microeconomics programme at KAPSARC. His work spans macroeconomics, energy-economic modelling, large-scale optimisation and advanced computational techniques for modelling complex energy policy dynamics. Here he speaks with Petroleum Economist about the Gulf region’s role in shaping the energy landscape over the coming decades

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