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Bakken oil output may hold its ground
While oil prices will determine the trajectory of the key US shale patch, regulation and technological shifts are also likely to shape direction longer term
China’s oil output to scale new heights
New discoveries and stabilisation of legacy fields’ output have helped China reverse the decline and be a top-five producer in recent years
India to help Asia spearhead global refining
Shifting demand patterns leaves most populous nation primed to become downstream leader as China and the West retreat
US, Russia and China circle the Arctic
The strategic importance of vast untapped oil and gas reserves and key shipping routes has come in from the cold
Trump creates new risk dynamic
US policies may have lasting effects in sectors such as energy, that rely on predictable rules and long-term planning
Momentum builds for Alaska LNG
Asian and European interest gathers pace as Trump throws his weight behind frontier state
Letter from the US: Energy needs require a rethink
Tariffs, AI, critical minerals and emerging markets all raise fundamental policy questions
EU faces tough task following Japan LNG model
The bloc may find it very difficult to replicate Japan’s approach due to fundamental differences in policy and markets
Lower oil prices fuel US driving season
US gasoline consumption is at its highest level since before COVID, but while stocks remain healthy, the hurricane season threatens
Cheap gas key to unlocking new markets
Weaning poorer regions off coal means gas needs to be abundant and competitive longer term
US China EU
Victor Kotsev
15 July 2020
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China holds the cards in US-EU poker

As the US shale industry struggles, energy sanctions targeting China are unlikely

Energy’s geopolitical and geo-economic importance means it is always at risk of becoming a pawn in wider strategic conflict. The standoff between Beijing, Washington and much of Europe—complicated by China’s ongoing crackdown on civil liberties in Hong Kong—is no different. Few pundits see a quick way out of a deepening conflict that encompasses several major issues including the coronavirus pandemic—for which many across the world blame China, either through genuine analysis of the transparency of Beijing’s handling of the outbreak, or because of convenient, populist blame-mongering—trade and digital spying. As Petroleum Economist went to press, the US and China introduced mutual visa restr

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