Asian demand critical to absorb fresh LNG supply

Purchasing from region will help determine if prices will stay buoyant in the second half of this decade as supply increases, with significant volumes due online in the next three years

The LNG market is approaching an inflection point. It will revert from net short in recent years, following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and underwhelming capacity additions, to net long as much-touted projects finally begin to start up. Next year will mark the beginning of a three-year ramp-up in supply. Among the projects that might come online in 2025 are the 14mt/yr LNG Canada terminal, ExxonMobil’s 15.6mt/yr Golden Pass, the first phase of Venture Global-developed Plaquemines, the first two mega-trains of Qatar’s North Field Expansion, Corpus Christi’s 10mt/yr third stage, Nigeria LNG’s 8mt/yr Train 7 expansion and the 3.25m t/yr Energia Costa Azul facility in Mexico by Sempra Energy.