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Mexico must overhaul its NOC
Crucial structural reforms and change in operating philosophy are needed to arrest PEMEX’s ongoing decline and restore oil production growth
Mexico’s upstream Pemex gamble
The government refuses to expand E&P access despite the NOC’s high debt pile, falling crude output and growing gas import dependence
Major upstream decline threatens Mexico’s energy security
Dire crude projections and heavy debt burden are weighing heavily on NOC Pemex
Pemex scrambles to plug the gap
The NOC’s dire financial situation and maturing fields have left the authorities with little choice but to reduce crude expectations
Hydrocarbon Processing Refining Databook 2025: Americas
The US and Canada are boosting capacity builds for renewable diesel and biofuels, while Central and South American countries are investing heavily to upgrade and expand their domestic refining sectors
Latin America’s evolving crude outlook
New supply from Argentina, Brazil and Guyana is rich in middle distillates, but optimism in terms of volume growth remains tempered by regulatory and technical risks as well as price volatility
Mexico’s energy ambitions weigh heavily on Pemex
The government’s resource nationalism is aggravating the NOC’s debt position and could yet worsen if also tasked with the decarbonisation shift
Mexico’s new president faces fiscal crunch
While greater focus on decarbonisation is likely, economic pressures and huge debt burden could squeeze energy policy ambitions
Mexico’s election could evolve oil nationalism
Upcoming elections are likely to deliver a win for the party of president Andres Lopez Obrador, but analysts differ over to what degree his successor will stick to his energy policies
Mexico’s fledgling LNG export industry faces growth challenges
While developers are making progress, infrastructure, regulatory and political uncertainties risk stunting opportunities
Mexico Pemex
Charles Waine
30 July 2020
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Pemex debt strategy at risk of unravelling

The Mexican firm had made some progress arresting its hefty debt pile, but the economic downturn and government obsession with upstream targets has started to take its toll

When President Andres Lopez Obrador romped to victory in Mexico’s 2018 election, one of his key pledges was to tackle state oil firm Pemex’s chronic debt problem. Total company debt had ballooned to over $100bn, rising at an annual rate of almost 14pc, while failing to halt rapidly declining crude production. At first, everything seemed to go according to plan. In 2019, Pemex managed to reduce its debt balance for the first time in 12 years, despite the government cancelling all bidding rounds, shunning foreign investment and saddling the NOC with the country’s upstream recovery programme. Pemex has until 2024 to revive national crude production to 2.4mn bl/d, mainly through the startup of 2

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