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Upstream China Russia US
Gordon Feller
19 June 2025
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US, Russia and China circle the Arctic

The strategic importance of vast untapped oil and gas reserves and key shipping routes has come in from the cold

The Arctic has significant oil and gas potential but is also one of the most geopolitically sensitive spots on the map. The US, Russia, China and the Nordic nations find themselves navigating increasingly complex relationships—balancing domestic agendas with international competition and cooperation. The region's future will depend on how these competing interests play out. The Arctic is estimated to hold approximately 22% of the world’s undiscovered oil and gas reserves, or around 412b boe, with about 84% being offshore and gas making up about two-thirds of the total, according to a 2008 assessment by the US Geological Survey—the most recent comprehensive estimate available. About 95% of Ar

Also in this section
Explainer: What do Russia’s oil giants own overseas?
4 December 2025
Time is running out for Lukoil and Rosneft to divest international assets that will be mostly rendered useless to them when the US sanctions deadline arrives in mid-December
Letter from Saudi Arabia: US-Saudi energy ties enter a new phase
Opinion
3 December 2025
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
Opinion
2 December 2025
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
Libya’s upstream caught between hope and caution
1 December 2025
The North African producer’s first bidding round in almost two decades is an important milestone but the recent extension suggests a degree of trepidation

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