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Mexico must overhaul its NOC
Crucial structural reforms and change in operating philosophy are needed to arrest PEMEX’s ongoing decline and restore oil production growth
Mexico’s upstream Pemex gamble
The government refuses to expand E&P access despite the NOC’s high debt pile, falling crude output and growing gas import dependence
Major upstream decline threatens Mexico’s energy security
Dire crude projections and heavy debt burden are weighing heavily on NOC Pemex
Pemex scrambles to plug the gap
The NOC’s dire financial situation and maturing fields have left the authorities with little choice but to reduce crude expectations
Hydrocarbon Processing Refining Databook 2025: Americas
The US and Canada are boosting capacity builds for renewable diesel and biofuels, while Central and South American countries are investing heavily to upgrade and expand their domestic refining sectors
Latin America’s evolving crude outlook
New supply from Argentina, Brazil and Guyana is rich in middle distillates, but optimism in terms of volume growth remains tempered by regulatory and technical risks as well as price volatility
Mexico’s energy ambitions weigh heavily on Pemex
The government’s resource nationalism is aggravating the NOC’s debt position and could yet worsen if also tasked with the decarbonisation shift
Mexico’s new president faces fiscal crunch
While greater focus on decarbonisation is likely, economic pressures and huge debt burden could squeeze energy policy ambitions
Mexico’s election could evolve oil nationalism
Upcoming elections are likely to deliver a win for the party of president Andres Lopez Obrador, but analysts differ over to what degree his successor will stick to his energy policies
Mexico’s fledgling LNG export industry faces growth challenges
While developers are making progress, infrastructure, regulatory and political uncertainties risk stunting opportunities
More than half of Mexico’s conventional prospective resources are in deepwater areas
Opinion
Mexico Pemex Gulf of Mexico Petronas Woodside
Conal Quinn
Mexico City
16 August 2022
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Letter from Mexico: Deepwater ambitions drowning in debt

Mexico must harness the vast resources in the Gulf to meet the government’s goal of energy autonomy

Deepwater Gulf of Mexico is a province retaining significant potential for oil and gas exploration wins, but Mexico’s search for these prizes has lagged significantly behind that of the US. Now, under the presidency of Andres Lopez Obrador, Mexico is seeking to recentre the oil industry as the country’s primary lever for socioeconomic development. And the country must try to capitalise on existing deepwater Gulf resources and find more to make Lopez Obrador’s dream of energy sovereignty viable. It is likely too late, though, for the basin to contribute materially to a 2024 output target of 2.6mn bl/d. Despite the current administration’s stated focus on its NOC reducing debt, Pemex remains t

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