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Outlook 2026: South America’s oil growth story masks hidden risks
Brazil, Guyana and Argentina to lead additional crude supply increases, but the rest of the region remains patchy
Brazil could be an energy trailblazer
The oil powerhouse will not just join the top five crude exporters in the coming years, it may be a model for how petrostates balance growth, policy and sustainability
Mexico must overhaul its NOC
Crucial structural reforms and change in operating philosophy are needed to arrest PEMEX’s ongoing decline and restore oil production growth
Mexico’s upstream Pemex gamble
The government refuses to expand E&P access despite the NOC’s high debt pile, falling crude output and growing gas import dependence
YPF reinvents itself
Under a new Argentine president and company CEO, YPF has shed dozens of non-core assets as it doubles down on the Vaca Muerta shale and LNG
Arrow’s oil positivity defies Colombia headwinds
CEO Marshall Abbott highlights success in the Llanos Basin and explains why Colombia has a lot of untapped potential
Brazil looks to solve its energy security travails
Despite significant crude projections over the next five years, Latin America’s largest economy could be forced to start importing unless action is taken
Major upstream decline threatens Mexico’s energy security
Dire crude projections and heavy debt burden are weighing heavily on NOC Pemex
Argentina makes progress on LNG dream
Eni is joining the first phase of the 30mt/yr ARGLNG, while consortium behind the smaller Southern Energy LNG has reached FID
Andean upstream feels the heat
Financial problems, lack of exploration success and political dogma cause uncertainty across much of the region
Brazil Argentina Mexico Colombia
Ruaraidh Montgomery
24 March 2020
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Downturn hits Latin America’s upstream hard

Worsening economic conditions set to slash oil production growth in the region

The Opec+ collapse is leading to an unprecedented wave of crude hitting the market just as demand plunges due to the Covid-19 pandemic. Latin American government revenues will take a big hit because of the outsized role that oil and gas plays in regional economies. As elsewhere, companies active in the region have reacted quickly, making deep cuts to their capital spend plans for this year, with discretionary spend being pulled back wherever possible. Current oil prices may not be sustainable beyond the short-term, but the focus for companies is to minimise cash burn and protect their balance sheets. Production will be hit, and short-term shut-ins have already begun. Longer-term growth will

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