Iran’s oil output could hit 4.5m b/d if investment flows
Production could rise by 0.9m b/d by 2025 but it needs help from international oil companies (IOCs)
Iran's oil production could reach 4.5m barrels per day over the next decade - but only if it manages to secure billions in foreign investment to boost recovery rates, according to Wood Mackenzie. After emerging from international sanctions in January, the Islamic Republic's oil output has increased by more than any other Opec member this year, reaching 3.6m b/d in July. Tehran is targeting 4m b/d as soon as possible, or roughly its level before sanctions. By 2021 the National Iranian Oil Company wants output to reach 4.8m b/d. Iran's 2021 oil output target may be a stretch but by 2025 production could reach 4.5m b/d if just five or six new projects are developed, the consultancy said. The co
Also in this section
5 December 2025
Mistaken assumptions around an oil bull run that never happened are a warning over the talk of a supply glut
4 December 2025
Time is running out for Lukoil and Rosneft to divest international assets that will be mostly rendered useless to them when the US sanctions deadline arrives in mid-December
3 December 2025
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
2 December 2025
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026






