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Trump’s gasoline price pledge paradox
The US president has repeatedly promised to lower gasoline prices, but this ambition conflicts with his parallel aim to increase drilling and could be upended by his war against Iran
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A gas station board in the US on 3 March
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Ehsan ul-Haq
4 March 2026
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Trump’s gasoline price pledge paradox

The US president has repeatedly promised to lower gasoline prices, but this ambition conflicts with his parallel aim to increase drilling and could be upended by his war against Iran

US President Donald Trump has repeatedly promised to lower gasoline prices below $2/gal and mentioned relatively low prices in several states in his recent State of the Union address. However, this ambition conflicts with the “drill, baby, drill” mantra that characterised his election campaign because the low oil prices needed to reach that gasoline price often discourage oil companies from drilling more. Increased oil production from Venezuela could lower gasoline prices, but a significant increase in production in the Orinoco Belt remains several years away. The most immediate concern is the US war with Iran, which is pushing up crude oil and gasoline prices. It remains to be seen how long

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Trump’s gasoline price pledge paradox
4 March 2026
The US president has repeatedly promised to lower gasoline prices, but this ambition conflicts with his parallel aim to increase drilling and could be upended by his war against Iran
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4 March 2026
With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed following US-Israel strikes and Iran’s retaliatory escalation, Fujairah has become the region’s critical pressure release valve—and is now under serious threat
Middle East oil vulnerabilities have been exposed
3 March 2026
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How Hormuz chokehold threatens LNG buyers
2 March 2026
A potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following the escalating US-Iran conflict risks disrupting Qatari LNG exports that underpin global gas markets, exposing Asia and other markets to sharp price spikes, cargo shortages and renewed reliance on dirtier fuels

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