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Outlook 2026: Time for a new international energy order
With the arrival of a multipolar world and 4b energy-poor people, the existing energy order is no longer fit for purpose
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US Markets
Neil Atkinson
31 January 2025
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Oil producers under pressure in 2025

Trump may get his wish for cheaper oil, but prices will more likely be driven by fundamentals than policies

Nobody could accuse President Trump of being dull. His campaign slogan “drill, baby, drill” is being repeated even after the January inauguration. Regulations are being relaxed to allow oil and gas companies to invest in expanding production. The Strategic Petroleum Reserve will, apparently, be re-filled to capacity—an increase of nearly 300m bl from today’s level. Tariffs are promised against Canada, China, Mexico and the EU, among others, to force them to either export less to the US or import more from the US. Sanctions against Iran, Russia and Venezuela might be toughened in the coming months. And this could be just the start. Ultimately, for all the sound and fury of Trump’s initiatives

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No longer can the energy source be considered a sidekick to oil in the Middle East and neither should it step aside for less convincing alternatives
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The global race for critical minerals has become a defining feature of energy geopolitics, presenting the ASEAN region with both opportunity and risk
Outlook 2026: Building balance – A dual-track strategy in a changing energy landscape
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As global energy systems evolve to meet shifting demand and transition pressures, maintaining reliable hydrocarbon supply remains essential to energy security
Mideast gas sector needs $200b of investment
6 January 2026
Cash will be needed to boost production by 30% to meet region’s rapidly rising power demand, executives told the inaugural Middle East Gas Conference in December

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