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The site of an old tin mine in Cornwall
Opinion
US Markets
Philip K. Verleger
Denver
7 February 2025
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Letter from the US: Oil’s tin problem

The history of tin production and prices offers a preview of the future oil market. If correct, $35/bl could become the new normal for crude for several years without further OPEC+ intervention

Tin producers were cosseted for decades through the International Tin Agreement (ITA) between them and consumers. The ITA was one of the commodity price stabilisation programmes that grew out of the 1944 Bretton Woods pact that established the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank. The agreement included the creation of the International Tin Council to oversee the stabilisation effort. Funds were provided to the council to build buffer stocks that could then be added to or sold off to keep prices stable. The ITA failed spectacularly in 1985 when the ITC did not meet margin calls to cover its positions on the London Metal Exchange as tin prices plummeted by 60%. The oil industr

Also in this section
The diesel crisis
10 March 2026
By shutting the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has cut exports of distillate-rich Middle Eastern crude, jet fuel and diesel, and is holding the energy market hostage
Navigating the next LNG cycle
10 March 2026
Eni’s director for global gas and LNG portfolio, Cristian Signoretto, discusses how demand will respond to rising LNG supply, and how the company is expanding its own gas and LNG operations through disciplined, capital-efficient investments
OPEC+ boosted production before crisis
9 March 2026
Petroleum Economist analysis sees increases in output from Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and Kazakhstan among others before region’s murky descent
Energy dominance as diplomatic leverage
9 March 2026
Energy sanctions are becoming an increasingly prominent tool of US foreign policy, with the country’s growth in oil and gas production allowing it to impose pressure on rivals without jeopardising its own energy security or that of its allies, argues Matthew McManus, a visiting fellow at the National Center for Energy Analytics

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