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Letter from London: The oil market should panic tomorrow
Emergency oil stocks provide a last line of defence to oil market shocks, so the IEA’s unprecedented 400m bl release represents something of a double-edged sword
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By shutting the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has cut exports of distillate-rich Middle Eastern crude, jet fuel and diesel, and is holding the energy market hostage
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Letter from Asia: The nuanced India-Russia oil picture
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Markets
Ehsan ul-Haq
Paul Hickin,
Editor-in-chief
11 February 2025
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Core OPEC, OPEC+ tighten oil output in January

Improving compliance among the group and wider group is offset by production increases in outliers Libya, Venezuela and Iran

OPEC-9 output declined in January for the second consecutive month, according to Petroleum Economist estimates, despite falling Russian exports due to tightening sanctions. Compliance was seen at 99%. China's retaliatory tariffs against the US are expected to reduce flows from North America’s largest exporter. Saudi Aramco raised official pricing prices for March to Asian destinations significantly, with Arab Light showing an increase of $2.40/bl to $3.90/bl above the Oman/Dubai average. Saudi production increased to 9.01m b/d compared with 8.99m b/d in December. Not only China, but also India and other Asian importers, have scrambled to secure alternative supplies due to Russian oil’s absen

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Letter from London: The oil market should panic tomorrow
12 March 2026
Emergency oil stocks provide a last line of defence to oil market shocks, so the IEA’s unprecedented 400m bl release represents something of a double-edged sword
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