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Letter from Iran: Testing times for Tehran-Beijing crude dynamics
Growing pressure from the Trump administration continues to threaten a resilient China-Iran oil nexus
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The alliance is keeping output on track and the market in balance amid geopolitical tensions and a fragile supply-demand ledger
OPEC+ set to strengthen its hand
The alliance looks to bolster market management credibility by bringing greater clarity and unity to output cuts and producer capacity later in 2026
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The ripple effects of US refiners switching to Venezuela grades will be felt from Canada to China and everywhere in between
Explainer: Iran’s indispensable energy role
The country’s global energy importance and domestic political fate are interlocked, highlighting its outsized oil and gas powers, and the heightened fallout risk
Oil’s tanker transformation
The global maritime oil transport sector enters 2026 facing a rare convergence of crude oversupply, record newbuild deliveries and the potential easing of several geopolitical disruptions that have shaped trade flows since 2022
Letter from the US: The curse of strong energy exports
Rebuilding industry, energy dominance and lower energy costs are key goals that remain at odds in 2026
Europe’s rising energy security challenge
Across Europe, countries have grappled with balancing ambitious energy transition plans with realities about security of supply
OPEC’s discipline sets tone for 2026
OPEC+ remains on track as output falls, with only Gabon failing to hit its output targets in December, although Kazakhstan’s compliance was involuntary
Iran's Acting President Mohammad Mokhber during a cabinet meeting in Tehran
Iran Politics Markets
James Gavin
24 May 2024
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Washington belatedly targets Iran’s crude oil supply networks

Tehran is in a renewed political crisis, but its ability to find buyers for its crude exports hands it a lifeline

The death of President Ebrahim Raisi on 19 May portends a period of domestic political turmoil for Iran, just as US pressure on its crucial economic lifeline—crude oil exports to China—intensifies in the wake of the mid-April missile assault on Israel. Raisi’s helicopter crash may have been the result of technical issues reflecting the impact of sanctions on Iran’s air fleet, restricting the supply of spare parts. The one piece of good news that Iranian officials may clutch to is that the sanctions regime as applied to the country’s crude oil exports has been much less effective. “About 90–95% of Iran’s crude exports are going to China,” said Homayoun Falakshahi, senior oil analyst at analyt

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