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Iran's Acting President Mohammad Mokhber during a cabinet meeting in Tehran
Iran Politics Markets
James Gavin
24 May 2024
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Washington belatedly targets Iran’s crude oil supply networks

Tehran is in a renewed political crisis, but its ability to find buyers for its crude exports hands it a lifeline

The death of President Ebrahim Raisi on 19 May portends a period of domestic political turmoil for Iran, just as US pressure on its crucial economic lifeline—crude oil exports to China—intensifies in the wake of the mid-April missile assault on Israel. Raisi’s helicopter crash may have been the result of technical issues reflecting the impact of sanctions on Iran’s air fleet, restricting the supply of spare parts. The one piece of good news that Iranian officials may clutch to is that the sanctions regime as applied to the country’s crude oil exports has been much less effective. “About 90–95% of Iran’s crude exports are going to China,” said Homayoun Falakshahi, senior oil analyst at analyt

Also in this section
Learning from oil’s supercycle miss
5 December 2025
Mistaken assumptions around an oil bull run that never happened are a warning over the talk of a supply glut
Explainer: What do Russia’s oil giants own overseas?
4 December 2025
Time is running out for Lukoil and Rosneft to divest international assets that will be mostly rendered useless to them when the US sanctions deadline arrives in mid-December
Letter from Saudi Arabia: US-Saudi energy ties enter a new phase
Opinion
3 December 2025
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
Opinion
2 December 2025
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026

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