Letter from India: Oil’s new nerve centre
The IEA estimates India will be the largest driver of global oil demand growth by 2030, but it may have still undersold the story
Eyebrows were raised when the IEA said in February that India would overtake China as the top oil importer by the end of the decade. The argument was twofold. First, India’s urbanisation, economic expansion and population growth would see its appetite for oil continue to accelerate and fundamentally alter commodity flows and the energy map. Second, China’s economy would become less energy intensive and would look to wean itself off its hydrocarbon dependence under the guise of the transition push. Both arguments are convincing, and the truth is they simply do not go far enough with regards to the world’s now most-populous nation. India is on track to post an increase in demand of almost 1.2m
Also in this section
1 April 2026
Golden Pass’s startup offers QatarEnergy a timely boost but may also force a difficult choice between honouring disrupted contracts and capitalising on soaring spot LNG prices
1 April 2026
It is not a case of if or when, but the length and magnitude of economic damage from elevated oil prices
1 April 2026
The US-Iran conflict demonstrates the need for diversification in several senses of the word. It also exposes the limits of Washington applying pressure on major oil and gas producers it considers geopolitical adversaries
31 March 2026
Disappointing results in its bidding round are a reality check for Libya, and global exploration generally






