Reduction in Saudi volumes will bring production to a two-year low
Saudi output cut creates tight sour crude market
Move triggers flurry of Middle East-China trading with Unipec flooding market with Omani cargoes and rival Petrochina snapping them up
Ice Brent has traded in a narrow range of $73–77/bl since Saudi Arabia announced a 1mn bl/d voluntary output cut in June. While the crude flat price has flattered to deceive, the story remains different in the sour crude market, where differentials have rallied. The Dubai ‘window’—used to assess the tradeable value of spot crude loading from the Middle East—has seen one of its most active trading months ever. The reduction in Saudi volumes will bring production to a two-year low of 9mn bl/d when it takes effect in July. It is scheduled for one month only, but the Kingdom has reserved the option of extending it into August. Having already pledged a 500,000bl/d cut earlier this year, Saudi Ara
Also in this section
8 December 2025
The Caribbean country’s role in the global oil market is significantly diminished, but disruptions caused by outright conflict would still have implications for US Gulf Coast refineries
5 December 2025
Mistaken assumptions around an oil bull run that never happened are a warning over the talk of a supply glut
4 December 2025
Time is running out for Lukoil and Rosneft to divest international assets that will be mostly rendered useless to them when the US sanctions deadline arrives in mid-December
3 December 2025
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
