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The diesel crisis
By shutting the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has cut exports of distillate-rich Middle Eastern crude, jet fuel and diesel, and is holding the energy market hostage
OPEC+ boosted production before crisis
Petroleum Economist analysis sees increases in output from Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and Kazakhstan among others before region’s murky descent
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OPEC, upstream investors and refiners all face strategic shifts now the Asian behemoth is no longer the main engine of global oil demand growth
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HPI Market Data Book 2026: Global construction – Americas
Capex is concentrated in gas processing and LNG in the US, while in Canada the reverse is true
HPI Market Data Book 2026: Global construction – Asia-Pacific
The surge in demand for fuel and petrochemical products in Asia has led to significant expansion in refining and petrochemicals capacities, with India and China leading the way
HPI Market Data Book 2026: Global construction – EMEA
Middle Eastern countries are investing in hydrocarbon processing to diversify their economies while African countries are looking to satisfy growing domestic fuel demand
Asia-Pacific will be the leader in oil demand growth to 2030
Refining Markets
Lee Nichols,
Vice-president, content,
Gulf Energy Information
5 October 2023
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Refining Report: Biofuels lead the way

Gasoline and diesel demand set to stagnate but biofuels production due to expand significantly to 2030

Oil consumption rates have been level with or greater than consumption rates pre-Covid since Q3/Q4 2022. The IEA, the US EIA and OPEC have forecast global oil demand to hover around 102m b/d in 2023. All three organisations also forecast consumption to increase in 2024 to 102.75–104.25m b/d. In the longer term, the IEA forecasts oil consumption to increase by an additional 2.6m b/d, reaching approximately 105.7m b/d, by 2029. Asia-Pacific will be the leader in oil demand growth to 2030, led by increased industrialisation and demand for refined and petrochemical products in developing nations. Refined product consumption Refined product demand is forecast to increase over the next several yea

Also in this section
The diesel crisis
10 March 2026
By shutting the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has cut exports of distillate-rich Middle Eastern crude, jet fuel and diesel, and is holding the energy market hostage
Navigating the next LNG cycle
10 March 2026
Eni’s director for global gas and LNG portfolio, Cristian Signoretto, discusses how demand will respond to rising LNG supply, and how the company is expanding its own gas and LNG operations through disciplined, capital-efficient investments
OPEC+ boosted production before crisis
9 March 2026
Petroleum Economist analysis sees increases in output from Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and Kazakhstan among others before region’s murky descent
Energy dominance as diplomatic leverage
9 March 2026
Energy sanctions are becoming an increasingly prominent tool of US foreign policy, with the country’s growth in oil and gas production allowing it to impose pressure on rivals without jeopardising its own energy security or that of its allies, argues Matthew McManus, a visiting fellow at the National Center for Energy Analytics

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