Opec+ is in a tight spot

Oil producers’ demand outlook not as bullish as thought as output cuts have limited impact

Oil ministers from the 23 members of the Opec+ alliance met in Vienna on 4 June to discuss the state of the market and to decide what, if anything, to do to prop up prices. When, on 5 October 2022, Opec+ made a surprise cut of 2mn bl/d to its production ceiling, the price of Brent crude was $93.37/bl. In April, when voluntary production cuts by some members of the alliance totalling 1.15mn bl/d were announced, the price was $84.93/bl. In early May, the price of front-month Brent crude dipped below $80/bl and it has stayed there ever since, bottoming out at slightly below $71/bl just before the ministers sat down for talks. There is no official price target set by Opec+, but it is widely beli