Strategy v market dynamics
Members must consider a host of complex issues as they wrestle with the problem of managing oil supply
Opec production has fallen from 32.9m barrels a day in July 2017 to approximately 31.8m b/d in May this year. The decline has been driven by both intentional cuts (particularly from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the UAE) and unintentional ones (Venezuela and Angola). The market is rightly focusing its eyes on Venezuela. The country lost almost 1m b/d of production since 2016, with exports set to suffer further in the coming months. ConocoPhillips' seizure of PdV's storage and loading assets in Netherlands Antilles increases reliance on its already congested domestic ports. For Angola, its heavy weighting of deep-water production makes it particularly vulnerable to further declines. With Opec itse
Also in this section
24 October 2024
Producers in the region see significant gains to be made by boosting output using the infrastructure already in place
23 October 2024
Markets have seen no material disruption from the war so far, but as the fighting goes on it is a matter of when, not if
23 October 2024
Majors in the region are pushing boundaries and could see significant upside, but longer-term risks remain
22 October 2024
Angola is unlikely to meet the official timeline for an IPO of state-owned oil giant Sonangol in 2026