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Letter from Iran: Testing times for Tehran-Beijing crude dynamics
Growing pressure from the Trump administration continues to threaten a resilient China-Iran oil nexus
OPEC+’s cohesive restraint
The alliance is keeping output on track and the market in balance amid geopolitical tensions and a fragile supply-demand ledger
OPEC+ set to strengthen its hand
The alliance looks to bolster market management credibility by bringing greater clarity and unity to output cuts and producer capacity later in 2026
Oil in 2026: Five factors to watch
Petroleum Economist takes a look at the critical developments that look set to govern the course of the market for this year
Venezuela upends global heavy crude market
The ripple effects of US refiners switching to Venezuela grades will be felt from Canada to China and everywhere in between
Explainer: Iran’s indispensable energy role
The country’s global energy importance and domestic political fate are interlocked, highlighting its outsized oil and gas powers, and the heightened fallout risk
Oil’s tanker transformation
The global maritime oil transport sector enters 2026 facing a rare convergence of crude oversupply, record newbuild deliveries and the potential easing of several geopolitical disruptions that have shaped trade flows since 2022
Letter from the US: The curse of strong energy exports
Rebuilding industry, energy dominance and lower energy costs are key goals that remain at odds in 2026
Europe’s rising energy security challenge
Across Europe, countries have grappled with balancing ambitious energy transition plans with realities about security of supply
OPEC’s discipline sets tone for 2026
OPEC+ remains on track as output falls, with only Gabon failing to hit its output targets in December, although Kazakhstan’s compliance was involuntary
Markets Politics
Neil Atkinson
4 April 2024
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The Fed sends flowers to OPEC

OPEC+ continues to keep oil prices within a 'goldilocks' price range and provide stability in turbulent geopolitical times

The US Federal Reserve published in January an academic paper, Reasons Behind Words: OPEC Narratives and the Oil Market. The paper is the result of rigorous research and analysis by a team of authors who used a model-based approach to analyse all recorded OPEC press releases and mapped them against the fundamentals of oil supply, demand and speculative activity in the oil market. Their main conclusion was that “OPEC communication reduces oil price volatility and prompts market participants to rebalance their positions”. For an organisation that often gets a bad press, this complimentary statement might come as a surprise to many, particularly those who mistakenly take the view that OPEC is a

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