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Energy dominance as diplomatic leverage
Energy sanctions are becoming an increasingly prominent tool of US foreign policy, with the country’s growth in oil and gas production allowing it to impose pressure on rivals without jeopardising its own energy security or that of its allies, argues Matthew McManus, a visiting fellow at the National Center for Energy Analytics
Explainer: Fujairah on high alert
With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed following US-Israel strikes and Iran’s retaliatory escalation, Fujairah has become the region’s critical pressure release valve—and is now under serious threat
Middle East oil vulnerabilities have been exposed
The killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei in US–Israeli strikes marks the most serious escalation in the region in decades and a bigger potential threat to the oil market than the start of the Russia-Ukraine crisis
How Hormuz chokehold threatens LNG buyers
A potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following the escalating US-Iran conflict risks disrupting Qatari LNG exports that underpin global gas markets, exposing Asia and other markets to sharp price spikes, cargo shortages and renewed reliance on dirtier fuels
EU sanctions push stalls ahead of fourth anniversary of Russian invasion
As Europe marks the fourth anniversary of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, EU efforts to tighten sanctions on Moscow have stalled
Letter from Iran: Testing times for Tehran-Beijing crude dynamics
Growing pressure from the Trump administration continues to threaten a resilient China-Iran oil nexus
Explainer: Iran’s indispensable energy role
The country’s global energy importance and domestic political fate are interlocked, highlighting its outsized oil and gas powers, and the heightened fallout risk
Europe’s rising energy security challenge
Across Europe, countries have grappled with balancing ambitious energy transition plans with realities about security of supply
Venezuela’s true oil potential
The Latin American producer’s crude prospects rely on a multi-pronged approach where even the relatively easy wins will take considerable time, effort and cost
Outlook 2006: The North Sea’s next chapter – From backbone to blueprint
The next five years will be critical for the North Sea, and it will be policy not geology that will decide the basin’s future
A man burns a picture of former Syrian president Bashar al-Assad close to Syria's border with Lebanon
Politics Iran Syria
Danial Rahmat
10 December 2024
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Assad’s downfall is bad news for Iran

The collapse of the Syrian dictator’s regime will weaken Tehran in profound ways both economically and geopolitically

The rapid collapse of Bashar al-Assad's regime in Syria has triggered profound shifts in the Middle East, rapidly reshaping the region’s geopolitical dynamics. This change can be attributed to the growing discord between Iran and Russia, coupled with Turkey's opportunistic approach towards the conflicts in Gaza and Lebanon. Iran's strategic plans, including the use of Syria as a transit hub for its proxies and a route to the Mediterranean, are now in jeopardy. Meanwhile, Turkey has seized the opportunity to enhance its regional influence. This evolving situation is expected to shift the power balance in West Asia, leaving Iran in a weakened position as it becomes more dependent on China and

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