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Letter from Iran: Nuclear miscalculation
The regime’s policy of using nuclear ambiguity as a deterrent may have failed but it has realised it has other cards to play, while its neighbours are reappraising their approach to security
Letter from the UAE: The GCC and Iran – No easy way out
For GCC producers, the ceasefire may prove more destabilising than the war itself: exports remain constrained, and control over Hormuz has shifted in ways that could endure
China’s secure energy transition
Alongside a rapid continued build-out of renewables, China’s latest five-year plan stresses the value of domestic hydrocarbon production for energy security and calls for increased Russian gas imports
Qatar’s Golden Pass dilemma
Golden Pass’s startup offers QatarEnergy a timely boost but may also force a difficult choice between honouring disrupted contracts and capitalising on soaring spot LNG prices
Lessons from the crisis
The US-Iran conflict demonstrates the need for diversification in several senses of the word. It also exposes the limits of Washington applying pressure on major oil and gas producers it considers geopolitical adversaries
Letter from the US: The oil market abyss
The overlooked oil supply issue is that even after the Strait of Hormuz opens, barrels won’t readily return
Do not politicise a geopolitical crisis – Ydreos
The Strait of Hormuz disruption has exposed weakness in the global energy system and reignited debate over security of supply, but it should not be used to justify an accelerated shift away from fossil fuels, says the secretary general of the IGU
Letter from the US: Oil refining gets a do-over
It is an unusual story of out with the new and in with the old, as America First Refining shows the US going back to trusted energy security developments
A bigger and longer crisis
Attacks on key oil and LNG assets across the Gulf mean a prolonged supply disruption, with damage to Qatar’s export capacity undermining confidence in the global gas system
How Russia gains from the Hormuz supply shock
The US may be systemically stripping Russia of key geopolitical allies, but Moscow can reap rewards from the Hormuz crisis, both in the short and long term
Lengths of pipe wait to be laid in the ground along the Mountain Valley Pipeline route
US Midstream Politics
Roger Bezdek
Washington, DC
9 June 2023
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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US debt deal to have lasting consequences for oil and gas

Approval of Mountain Valley Pipeline could set a legal precedent, while permitting reform may make it easier for other projects to advance

The US averted an unprecedented federal debt default in early June, after President Biden signed the Fiscal Responsibility Act (FRA) into law with just two days to spare following months of acrimonious negotiations. A default would have had catastrophic economic and financial consequences for the US and other nations. Republicans refused to raise the borrowing limit unless Democrats agreed to reduce spending, leading to a standoff that was resolved only at the 11th hour after agreement was reached between Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy. The FRA suspends the debt limit until 2025—after the next presidential election—and also introduces significant provisions affecting the energy secto

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The regime’s policy of using nuclear ambiguity as a deterrent may have failed but it has realised it has other cards to play, while its neighbours are reappraising their approach to security
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