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Letter from Europe: Western retreat raises doubts over climate leadership
After years of pursuing ideologically driven climate leadership, Western powers are now stepping back under mounting political pressure and rising populist opposition—prompting concern essential climate action could be sidelined
An all-energy stance
A balanced approach—combining hydrocarbons, renewables and emerging clean technologies—is essential for both energy security and sustainability
From green goals to ground realities
As the EU remains deadlocked over its 2040 emissions goal, the IEA has tempered its climate rhetoric, forecasting that oil and gas will continue growing over the coming decades
Hungary defends Russian energy use
Claims the country lacks alternatives to Russian oil and gas may be exaggerated, although higher costs and reduced security of supply are legitimate concerns.
Middle East doubling down on oil strength
Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Iraq and Kuwait aim to turn geological advantage into sustained geopolitical power via greater spare capacity
Indigenous opposition may slow Canadian fast-track
Federal and provincial governments have passed legislation to speed the development of hand-picked projects, but failure to win Indigenous support may stymie their plans
States, markets and the geopolitics of gas
Geopolitics is just as significant as market factors or climate action in shaping the future role of gas
Letter from the US: Washington’s threat to oil exporters
With Trump poised to secure a majority on the Federal Reserve Board, slashed interest rates will weaken the dollar and cause economic pain for producers
Europe’s malaise offers risk and opportunity for Turkey
The EU and Turkey should look beyond stalled accession talks and towards a new partnership that encompasses energy integration and carbon alignment
Algeria’s strategic shift
The North African producer looks to be overhauling its legal and fiscal framework as it seeks to boost oil and gas output
Vehicles stuck in a heavy traffic jam on Delhi-Gurugram expressway
Politics
Neil Atkinson
14 August 2023
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Reality bites for global climate ambitions

Real-world trends for rising oil use in the developing world cast increasing doubt on lofty emissions goals

The IEA published a five-year oil market outlook in mid-June. This is always a brave exercise, and it is even more so in the post-pandemic world and following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. In Oil 2023: Analysis and Forecast to 2028, the agency has planted its flag firmly in the peak oil demand camp and rebutted a theme published in many previous editions that pointed out the dangers of insufficient investment in the upstream oil industry. As far as the peak oil argument is concerned, the IEA continues to show growth in demand from 99.8m b/d in 2022 to 105.7m b/d in 2028 (the limit of the forecast), with the editor of the report saying the agency is “pretty confident” of a definitive peak by

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Letter from Europe: Western retreat raises doubts over climate leadership
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After years of pursuing ideologically driven climate leadership, Western powers are now stepping back under mounting political pressure and rising populist opposition—prompting concern essential climate action could be sidelined
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