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Trump’s bid to reshape the global energy order
From Venezuela to Hormuz, the US—backed by the most powerful military force ever assembled—is redrawing not only oil and gas flows but also the global balance of energy power
The diesel crisis
By shutting the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has cut exports of distillate-rich Middle Eastern crude, jet fuel and diesel, and is holding the energy market hostage
Energy dominance as diplomatic leverage
Energy sanctions are becoming an increasingly prominent tool of US foreign policy, with the country’s growth in oil and gas production allowing it to impose pressure on rivals without jeopardising its own energy security or that of its allies, argues Matthew McManus, a visiting fellow at the National Center for Energy Analytics
Trump’s gasoline price pledge paradox
The US president has repeatedly promised to lower gasoline prices, but this ambition conflicts with his parallel aim to increase drilling and could be upended by his war against Iran
Middle East oil vulnerabilities have been exposed
The killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei in US–Israeli strikes marks the most serious escalation in the region in decades and a bigger potential threat to the oil market than the start of the Russia-Ukraine crisis
How Hormuz chokehold threatens LNG buyers
A potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following the escalating US-Iran conflict risks disrupting Qatari LNG exports that underpin global gas markets, exposing Asia and other markets to sharp price spikes, cargo shortages and renewed reliance on dirtier fuels
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Letter from Iran: Testing times for Tehran-Beijing crude dynamics
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Explainer: Iran’s indispensable energy role
The country’s global energy importance and domestic political fate are interlocked, highlighting its outsized oil and gas powers, and the heightened fallout risk
US Iran Donald Trump Oil markets
Derek Brower
9 January 2018
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Trump and Iran might lift oil prices, for now

Don't bet against the president's imminent Iran decision lifting oil prices. But don't expect the rally to last either

Predicting what a stable genius will do next is no easy thing. But now the oil market must wait again on Donald Trump, who will decide this week what to do about US participation in the Iran nuclear deal. The timing of his decision, due on 12 January, whether to decertify the agreement again is awkward—for Trump, Iran and the oil market. Trump's fighting his own local fires, including the fallout from Michael Wolff's fly-on-the-wall book, the Russia investigation and North Korea. Protestors in Iran remain on the streets, despite the Revolutionary Guard's claim to have suppressed the unrest. And the oil market, after a lengthy rally, has paused for breath. Brent was trading in London at almos

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Trump’s bid to reshape the global energy order
10 March 2026
From Venezuela to Hormuz, the US—backed by the most powerful military force ever assembled—is redrawing not only oil and gas flows but also the global balance of energy power
The diesel crisis
10 March 2026
By shutting the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has cut exports of distillate-rich Middle Eastern crude, jet fuel and diesel, and is holding the energy market hostage
Navigating the next LNG cycle
10 March 2026
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OPEC+ boosted production before crisis
9 March 2026
Petroleum Economist analysis sees increases in output from Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and Kazakhstan among others before region’s murky descent

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