The Urengoy–Pomary–Uzhgorod pipeline, now closed to gas flows
Europe faces perilous year without Ukraine gas transit
The end of transit, though widely anticipated, leaves Europe paying a third more for gas than a year ago and greatly exposed to supply shocks
Europe’s gas market faces a difficult year, with the loss of Russian gas transit through Ukraine leaving it greatly exposed to any future potential supply disruptions, including via the last remaining route for Russian deliveries to Europe: TurkStream. Gas prices are at their highest level in a year and are not expected to see much decline in 2025. This translates into higher energy costs for the European economy, undermining efforts to bolster stagnating GDP and curb the trend of de-industrialisation seen over the past few years. The expected outcome That Russia and Ukraine would not renew their transit deal beyond 2024 was widely anticipated by the market, as evidenced by the steady climb
Also in this section
29 January 2026
Caught between LNG risks from across the Atlantic and the wounds from Russian gas dependence, Europe needs more than a simple diversification strategy
28 January 2026
The alliance looks to bolster market management credibility by bringing greater clarity and unity to output cuts and producer capacity later in 2026
23 January 2026
A strategic pivot away from Russian crude in recent weeks tees up the possibility of improved US-India trade relations
23 January 2026
The signing of a deal with a TotalEnergies-led consortium to explore for gas in a block adjoining Israel’s maritime area may breathe new life into the country’s gas ambitions
