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Middle East oil vulnerabilities have been exposed
The killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei in US–Israeli strikes marks the most serious escalation in the region in decades and a bigger potential threat to the oil market than the start of the Russia-Ukraine crisis
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The new LNG wave is finally here
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The Golden Pass LNG facility in Port Arthur, Texas
Gas LNG US
Joseph Murphy
21 August 2025
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EIA again cuts US gas price forecasts, but market still to tighten

The administration has once more reduced its short-term gas price forecasts, but the expectation remains the market will tighten over the coming year

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) has again slashed its short-term forecasts for domestic gas prices, citing supply outpacing demand that has also driven storage levels sharply higher. Even so, prices are expected to climb over the rest of the year and into next as demand, lifted by LNG exports, once more overtakes production in terms of growth. In its August Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the EIA said prices had already undershot earlier projections. The Henry Hub spot price averaged almost $3.20/m Btu between April and July, about $0.80 below the agency’s April forecast. The EIA now expects Henry Hub to reach $3.90/m Btu in the fourth quarter of 2025 and $4.30/m Btu in 2026

Also in this section
Middle East oil vulnerabilities have been exposed
3 March 2026
The killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei in US–Israeli strikes marks the most serious escalation in the region in decades and a bigger potential threat to the oil market than the start of the Russia-Ukraine crisis
How Hormuz chokehold threatens LNG buyers
2 March 2026
A potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following the escalating US-Iran conflict risks disrupting Qatari LNG exports that underpin global gas markets, exposing Asia and other markets to sharp price spikes, cargo shortages and renewed reliance on dirtier fuels
Letter from Asia: The nuanced India-Russia oil picture
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2 March 2026
The South Asian consumer’s next move could tighten the Middle East oil market overnight
Touchstone advances Central strategy
2 March 2026
Canadian independent’s evolving portfolio in Trinidad and Tobago gives it access to the Atlantic LNG market and a close-up view of developments in neighbouring Venezuela

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