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The Golden Pass LNG facility in Port Arthur, Texas
Gas LNG US
Joseph Murphy
21 August 2025
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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EIA again cuts US gas price forecasts, but market still to tighten

The administration has once more reduced its short-term gas price forecasts, but the expectation remains the market will tighten over the coming year

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) has again slashed its short-term forecasts for domestic gas prices, citing supply outpacing demand that has also driven storage levels sharply higher. Even so, prices are expected to climb over the rest of the year and into next as demand, lifted by LNG exports, once more overtakes production in terms of growth. In its August Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the EIA said prices had already undershot earlier projections. The Henry Hub spot price averaged almost $3.20/m Btu between April and July, about $0.80 below the agency’s April forecast. The EIA now expects Henry Hub to reach $3.90/m Btu in the fourth quarter of 2025 and $4.30/m Btu in 2026

Also in this section
Libya looks to maximise gas opportunity
11 February 2026
North African producer plans to boost output by early 2030, with Europe its number one priority as export destination
LNG shipping needs freedom to evolve
11 February 2026
Maritime leaders at LNG2026 warned of the dangers of over-regulation on competitiveness, sustainability and innovation
Nigeria in upstream charm offensive
10 February 2026
The country has opened bidding on 50 blocks in a new licensing round but will face competition for attention and will need to address concerns about security and legislation
OPEC+’s cohesive restraint
10 February 2026
The alliance is keeping output on track and the market in balance amid geopolitical tensions and a fragile supply-demand ledger

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