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HPI Market Data Book 2026: Global construction – Americas
Capex is concentrated in gas processing and LNG in the US, while in Canada the reverse is true
Canadian producers positioned to ride out the downcycle
The country’s upstream players have demonstrated resilience to low oil prices and are well positioned to prosper despite a volatile market
Canada's oil growth optimism
Companies are bullish despite combined effect of market volatility, tariff threats, regulatory issues and midstream constraints
Canada’s Asian pivot faces hurdles
The federal government is working with Alberta to improve the country’s access to Asian markets and reduce dependence on the US, but there are challenges to their plans
Alberta’s energy hub sees silver lining
US tariffs bolster Alberta’s Industrial Heartland exports to Asia
Gas should fare better than oil under Canada’s new regime
The new federal government appears far more supportive of oil and gas than former prime minister Justin Trudeau’s climate-focused administration, but the prospects look better for the latter hydrocarbon
Indigenous opposition may slow Canadian fast-track
Federal and provincial governments have passed legislation to speed the development of hand-picked projects, but failure to win Indigenous support may stymie their plans
Canada enters the global LNG race
Owing to social, political and geographical factors, Canadian LNG projects are a complex proposition versus competing facilities on the US Gulf of Mexico
Energy NL upbeat on Newfoundland despite industry doubts
CEO argues the upstream potential remains huge as analysts question future oil production for Canadian province’s offshore industry
Canada’s energy superpower ambition
The new government is talking and thinking big, and there are credible reasons to believe it is more than just grandstanding
Canada
Vincent Lauerman
Calgary
2 April 2024
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Future of Canadian tight oil hangs on net-zero progress

Report by Canada Energy Regulator outlines three different scenarios, with the global push for decarbonisation the key to future production levels

Canada may not have the massive tight oil resource of the US, but it is a still significant producer, with several smaller formations spread across the west of the country having a total output of more than 250,000b/d in 2023, according to Jean-Denis Charlebois, chief economist at the Canada Energy Regulator (CER)—the only organisation that provides publicly available medium- and long-term outlooks for Canadian tight oil. Tight oil represents almost a third of Western Canada’s conventional crude oil production, but only 5% of the Canadian total—with oil sands production holding the lion’s share. At the same time, “Canadian tight oil differs from US resource, and basically everywhere else, be

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