Iraq’s oil cash bonanza masks deeper problems
Soaring oil prices are spurring renewed IOC investment but exposing infrastructure gaps
Iraq’s oil export revenues hit an eight-year high in February as prices surged, while the completion of an expansion project at one of the country’s largest fields supports ambitions that high prices might spur renewed IOC investment. However, as Opec eases production limits, underlying constraints to growth are re-emerging. The commissioning of a 50,000bl/d expansion at the giant West Qurna-2 field—raising capacity to 450,000bl/d—is cause for celebration but also demonstrates how expectations for Iraq’s oil sector have been downgraded. The contract signed with Russia’s Lukoil at the turn of the last decade envisioned production from the 14bn bl asset reaching 1.8mn bl/d five years ago. And
Also in this section
5 December 2025
Mistaken assumptions around an oil bull run that never happened are a warning over the talk of a supply glut
4 December 2025
Time is running out for Lukoil and Rosneft to divest international assets that will be mostly rendered useless to them when the US sanctions deadline arrives in mid-December
3 December 2025
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
2 December 2025
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026






