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Outlook 2026: South America’s oil growth story masks hidden risks
Brazil, Guyana and Argentina to lead additional crude supply increases, but the rest of the region remains patchy
Brazil could be an energy trailblazer
The oil powerhouse will not just join the top five crude exporters in the coming years, it may be a model for how petrostates balance growth, policy and sustainability
Mexico must overhaul its NOC
Crucial structural reforms and change in operating philosophy are needed to arrest PEMEX’s ongoing decline and restore oil production growth
Mexico’s upstream Pemex gamble
The government refuses to expand E&P access despite the NOC’s high debt pile, falling crude output and growing gas import dependence
YPF reinvents itself
Under a new Argentine president and company CEO, YPF has shed dozens of non-core assets as it doubles down on the Vaca Muerta shale and LNG
Arrow’s oil positivity defies Colombia headwinds
CEO Marshall Abbott highlights success in the Llanos Basin and explains why Colombia has a lot of untapped potential
Brazil looks to solve its energy security travails
Despite significant crude projections over the next five years, Latin America’s largest economy could be forced to start importing unless action is taken
Major upstream decline threatens Mexico’s energy security
Dire crude projections and heavy debt burden are weighing heavily on NOC Pemex
Argentina makes progress on LNG dream
Eni is joining the first phase of the 30mt/yr ARGLNG, while consortium behind the smaller Southern Energy LNG has reached FID
Andean upstream feels the heat
Financial problems, lack of exploration success and political dogma cause uncertainty across much of the region
Argentina Brazil Colombia Mexico Ecopetrol Pemex Petrobras
Charles Waine
4 March 2021
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Latin America plays catch-up

The pandemic wreaked havoc on NOC balance sheets in 2020, but the region still has some competitive advantages

Latin America has some of the best subsurface upstream opportunities globally, but NOCs must foster greater resilience to fully capitalise on the region’s resource potential, according to panellists at CeraWeek by IHS Markit.  “Resilience is determined by being vertically integrated,” says Juan Manuel Rojas, corporate vice president, strategy and business development, at Colombian NOC Ecopetrol. “Our midstream does a great job in countering a drop in revenues from the upstream, and similarly the downstream is resilient when refineries are affected.” “We are going to deliver a very competitive barrel of oil, a barrel that costs the lowest in the supply curve” Santos, Petrobras For Bra

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