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Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
The curious case of oil-on-water
The market is facing being drowned in excess crude, but one caveat is that a large chunk is due to buyers reluctant to snap up sanctioned barrels
China’s oil plan comes together
The country’s rapid output growth is an example that other producers could learn from
China seizes oil security opportunity
A combination of geopolitical uncertainty and OPEC+ barrels has driven a renewed focus on building strategic oil stocks despite flagging demand
Arctic LNG comes in from the cold
Beijing now appears prepared to accept discounted Russian LNG, even at the cost of heightened sanctions risk
China’s role as oil buffer stock manager
The country’s intervention in global oil markets to stabilise prices could last well into 2026
India’s Nayara fallout
The EU’s Russia sanctions could have far-reaching implications for India’s Vadinar-based refinery
Power of Siberia 2: Deal or no deal?
There is a good strategic case for China to sign a deal for gas supplies via the proposed Power of Siberia 2 pipeline, but Beijing’s concerns around over-dependence on a single supplier and desire to drive down the price make it relatively unlikely a contract will be finalised this year
China creates two-tier oil dynamic
There is a bifurcation in the global oil market as China’s stockpiling contrasts with reduced inventories elsewhere
China’s oil output to scale new heights
New discoveries and stabilisation of legacy fields’ output have helped China reverse the decline and be a top-five producer in recent years
Chinese president Xi Jinping and Vietnamese communist party general secretary Nguyen Phu Trong
Vietnam China ExxonMobil Rosneft
James Gavin
18 August 2020
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Vietnam battles for IOCs as China turns up the heat

China is intensifying its pressure on Hanoi to halt IOCs’ offshore drilling activities. Some have already withdrawn and others may follow

Vietnam is facing the prospect of losing heavyweight IOCs from its offshore, as China amplifies pressure to rein in E&P activity that it views as challenging its maritime interests along the so-called Nine Dash Line in the South China Sea. Chinese pressure has this year forced Russia’s Rosneft to shelve a planned drilling campaign, while both Repsol and the UAE’s Mubadala, partners on the Ca Rong Do field, have relinquished offshore stakes to state-owned PetroVietnam—in return for what is understood to have been a compensation package worth around $1bn. Spain’s Repsol announced on 12 June that it would relinquish its 51.75pc stake in block 07/03 and blocks 135-136 in Vietnam. The IOC dis

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